Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?November 1589%▲8%Yes 89¢No 12¢November 2282%▲12%Yes 82¢No 19¢+6 more outcomes$49.3M Vol · $983K 24h · Dec 31, 2026
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?March 3167%▼3%Yes 67¢No 34¢December 3134%▼7%Yes 34¢No 66¢+2 more outcomes$49.0M Vol · $488K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?November 5100%Yes 100¢No 0.4¢November 699%▲2%Yes 99¢No 1.4¢$3.9M Vol · $109K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Iran leader end of 2026?Mojtaba Khamenei94%▲3%Yes 94¢No 6.2¢No Head of State2%▼2%Yes 2.1¢No 98¢+119 more outcomes$40.9M Vol · $105K 24h · Dec 31, 2026
Iran leadership change by...?June 30, 202723%▲1%Yes 23¢No 77¢December 317%▼2%Yes 6.5¢No 94¢+1 more outcomes$29.4M Vol · $96K 24h · Jul 1, 2027
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?43%Yes 43¢No 57¢$2.0M Vol · $95K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)December 3137%▲6%Yes 37¢No 63¢November 3018%▼3%Yes 18¢No 83¢$897K Vol · $92K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)December 3183%Yes 83¢No 17¢November 3064%Yes 64¢No 37¢+3 more outcomes$66K Vol · $68K 24h · Dec 31, 2026
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?4%Yes 3.9¢No 96¢$2.2M Vol · $48K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)11%Yes 11¢No 90¢Dilution of Iran's Uranium10%▲1%Yes 10¢No 90¢+4 more outcomes$1.6M Vol · $43K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?December 31, 202641%▼4%Yes 41¢No 60¢November 30, 202621%▼8%Yes 21¢No 80¢$1.5M Vol · $40K 24h · Dec 31, 2026
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?December 3136%Yes 36¢No 65¢November 3016%▼1%Yes 16¢No 85¢$3.9M Vol · $34K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Crude Oil all time high by...?March 31, 202720%▼1%Yes 20¢No 81¢December 318%Yes 7.5¢No 93¢$5.7M Vol · $25K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?9%Yes 8.5¢No 92¢$16.9M Vol · $23K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?3%Yes 2.5¢No 97¢$1.5M Vol · $18K 24h · Dec 1, 2026
Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?3%Yes 2.9¢No 97¢$2.1M Vol · $17K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?December 3110%Yes 9.5¢No 91¢November 303%Yes 3.2¢No 97¢$18.0M Vol · $16K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Iran full airspace closure by...?December 3127%▼5%Yes 27¢No 74¢November 3014%▼5%Yes 14¢No 87¢$11.2M Vol · $15K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Major airlines suspend Ben Gurion flights by...?January 31, 202726%▼29%Yes 26¢No 75¢December 31, 202622%▼10%Yes 22¢No 78¢+1 more outcomes$66K Vol · $9.5K 24h · Feb 1, 2027
