Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?November 1589%▲9%Yes 89¢No 12¢November 2282%▲13%Yes 82¢No 19¢+6 more outcomes$49.3M Vol · $1.0M 24h · Dec 31, 2026
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?Gadi Eizenkot71%▲8%Yes 71¢No 29¢Benjamin Netanyahu18%▼3%Yes 18¢No 82¢+26 more outcomes$89.8M Vol · $976K 24h · Oct 28, 2026
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?March 3167%▼3%Yes 67¢No 34¢December 3134%▼7%Yes 34¢No 66¢+2 more outcomes$49.0M Vol · $471K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Venezuela leader end of 2026?Nicolás Maduro94%▲2%Yes 94¢No 6.0¢Delcy Rodríguez5%▼3%Yes 5.0¢No 95¢+55 more outcomes$99.9M Vol · $248K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?Other50%Yes 50¢No 50¢Person 150%Yes 50¢No 50¢+98 more outcomes$1.2M Vol · $168K 24h · Oct 28, 2026
US-Iran effective ceasefire continues through...?November 5100%Yes 100¢No 0.4¢November 699%▲2%Yes 99¢No 1.4¢$3.9M Vol · $110K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Iran leader end of 2026?Mojtaba Khamenei94%▲3%Yes 94¢No 6.3¢Alireza Arafi2%Yes 2.1¢No 98¢+119 more outcomes$40.9M Vol · $105K 24h · Dec 31, 2026
Iran leadership change by...?June 30, 202723%▲1%Yes 23¢No 77¢December 317%▼2%Yes 6.5¢No 94¢+1 more outcomes$29.4M Vol · $97K 24h · Jul 1, 2027
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?43%Yes 43¢No 57¢$2.0M Vol · $95K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Israeli airspace closed by...? (Excluding Holiday Closures)December 3137%▲4%Yes 37¢No 63¢November 3018%▼3%Yes 18¢No 83¢$897K Vol · $92K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)December 3183%Yes 83¢No 17¢November 3064%Yes 64¢No 37¢+3 more outcomes$54K Vol · $65K 24h · Dec 31, 2026
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?China90%▲1%Yes 90¢No 11¢No meeting by December 3110%▼1%Yes 10¢No 90¢+13 more outcomes$2.4M Vol · $63K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Where will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place?UAE96%▲1%Yes 96¢No 3.6¢No Talks by December 31, 20273%Yes 3.0¢No 97¢+27 more outcomes$294K Vol · $57K 24h · Jan 1, 2028
Next leader out of power before 2027?Netanyahu - Israel PM45%▲19%Yes 45¢No 56¢None before 202744%▼13%Yes 44¢No 56¢+20 more outcomes$2.5M Vol · $53K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
NATO x Russia military clash by...?December 3112%Yes 12¢No 89¢November 304%Yes 3.8¢No 96¢+1 more outcomes$13.3M Vol · $49K 24h · Jan 3, 2027
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?4%Yes 3.9¢No 96¢$2.2M Vol · $48K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year)11%Yes 11¢No 90¢Dilution of Iran's Uranium10%▲1%Yes 10¢No 90¢+4 more outcomes$1.6M Vol · $43K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?December 31, 202641%▼4%Yes 41¢No 59¢November 30, 202620%▼9%Yes 20¢No 80¢$1.5M Vol · $39K 24h · Dec 31, 2026
Netanyahu out by...?March 31, 202769%▲11%Yes 69¢No 32¢June 30, 202769%▲1%Yes 69¢No 32¢+1 more outcomes$125.3M Vol · $35K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?December 3136%Yes 36¢No 65¢November 3016%▼4%Yes 16¢No 85¢$3.9M Vol · $34K 24h · Jan 1, 2027
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by...?March 31, 202726%▼1%Yes 26¢No 75¢December 31, 202613%▼2%Yes 13¢No 88¢+3 more outcomes$216K Vol · $31K 24h · Apr 1, 2027
