$90.1M Vol · $1.1M 24h · Oct 28, 2026
Politics · Crypto · Bitcoin
$25K Vol · $20.40 24h · $6.7K liquidity · Live odds refresh every few seconds
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
2%
2% chance
$25K Vol · Ends Jan 1, 2027
2%
$25K Vol · $20.40 24h · $6.7K liquidity
Yes 2.2¢
2%
No 98¢
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if definitive evidence confirming that Adam Back is Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator of Bitcoin, is made public by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying evidence includes, but is not limited to, verified documentation, blockchain evidence, or other definitive evidence. If Satoshi Nakamoto is conclusively identified as a group or collective rather than a single individual, definitive evidence that Adam Back was a member of that group will qualify. Unverified or anonymous claims, speculation, memes, jokes, sarcasm, or unsubstantiated reports will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Public market rules. Live odds refresh every few seconds
From the public market feed. These are not Elyodds accounts.
